Britain’s coronavirus death toll today jumped by 109 as Northern Ireland recorded no new fatalities for the fourth day in a row with the outbreak across the UK continuing to fade.

Department of Health bosses have yet to post the final daily toll, which is often much higher because it takes into account deaths in all settings in England. 

The preliminary count — which takes the government’s death toll to 40,992 — is calculated by adding up all of the updates provided by each of the home nations. 

NHS England today recorded 88 lab-confirmed Covid-19 deaths in hospitals. Scotland registered 12 victims in all settings, followed by nine in Wales and zero in Northern Ireland. 

Britain’s coronavirus death toll yesterday rose by 286 — a figure that was 11.7 per cent lower than the 324 fatalities registered last Tuesday. For comparison, 359 deaths were officially announced last Wednesday.

In other coronavirus developments in Britain today: 

Ministers faced fury after it emerged millions of children may not be able to go back to school full-time in September, despite zoos and drive-in cinemas opening from Monday;Statistics revealed school children under the age of 15 have a ‘tiny’ one-in-3.5million chance of dying from coronavirus — and are actually ‘much’ more likely to be hit by lightning;Chancellor Rishi Sunak warned school closures are as damaging to the economy as the 2008 credit crunch and is among the most hawkish in government on the need to reopen classrooms, it was claimed today;Riots could break out across Britain this summer because of the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and growing concerns over racial inequality, a government scientific adviser warned. 

School children under the age of 15 have a very low chance of dying from coronavirus, according to statistics

UNDER-15S HAVE A ‘TINY’ RISK OF DYING OF COVID-19 AND ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE HIT BY LIGHTNING 

School children under the age of 15 have a ‘tiny’ one in 3.5million chance of dying from coronavirus and are more likely to be hit by lightning, statistics revealed last night.

Office for National Statistics (ONS) data published yesterday revealed only 14 people aged under 19 in England or Wales have died with confirmed or suspected Covid-19 since the start of the outbreak.

Sir David Spiegelhalter, an eminent statistician at the University of Cambridge, calculated the risk of dying from Covid-19 for under-5s was one in 1.17million. It was one in 3.5million for children aged five to 14.  

In comparison, between 30 and 60 people are hit by lightning every year in the UK, according to figures from the Royal Society for the Prevention of Accidents. 

This is a risk of between one in 2.21million and one in 1.1million each year, the Daily Telegraph reported, although it was unclear how many people hit by lightning are children. 

Department of Health data released yesterday showed that 102,930 tests were carried out on Monday, a figure that included antibody tests for frontline NHS and care workers.

But bosses again refused to say how many people were tested, meaning the exact number of Brits who have been swabbed for the SARS-CoV-2 virus has been a mystery since May 22.

Other data released by the Department of Health and presented at last night’s Downing Street press conference showed 1,387 more people tested positive for Covid-19. 

It means the official size of the UK’s coronavirus outbreak now sits at 289,140 cases but the true scale of the crisis is estimated to be in the millions. 

The daily data does not represent how many Covid-19 patients died within the last 24 hours — it is only how many fatalities have been reported and registered with the authorities.

The data does not always match updates provided by the home nations. For example, the Scottish government yesterday announced seven deaths – but the DH’s geographical breakdown showed it had no deaths.

The Department of Health has a different time cut-off, meaning daily updates from Scotland as well as Northern Ireland are always out of sync. 

Separate figures compiled by the statistical bodies of each of the home nations show that the real death toll, when suspected Covid-19 fatalities are included on top of confirmed cases, is around 51,000 in the UK.  

It comes as statistics last night showed school children under the age of 15 have a ‘tiny’ one in 3.5million chance of dying from coronavirus and are more likely to be hit by lightning.

Office for National Statistics (ONS) data published yesterday revealed only 14 people aged under 19 in England or Wales have died with confirmed or suspected Covid-19 since the start of the outbreak.

Sir David Spiegelhalter, an eminent statistician at the University of Cambridge, calculated the risk of dying from Covid-19 for under-5s was one in 1.17million. It was one in 3.5million for children aged five to 14.  

In comparison, between 30 and 60 people are hit by lightning every year in the UK, according to figures from the Royal Society for the Prevention of Accidents. 

This is a risk of between one in 2.21million and one in 1.1million each year, the Daily Telegraph reported, although it was unclear how many people hit by lightning are children. 

TORY BACKLASH AT BORIS JOHNSON OVER ‘PITIFUL’ FAILURE TO DOWNGRADE 2-METRE SOCIAL DISTANCING RULE 

Boris Johnson is facing a Tory backlash for failing to downgrade the two-metre social distancing rule, amid warnings it is causing ‘economic devastation’.

The PM is coming under growing pressure to relax the instruction, which is hampering the return of schools and crippling swathes of he economy.

Senior Conservatives are increasingly furious, with some branding the premier’s leadership on the issue ‘pitiful’.

Ministers have argued the guidance is kept under review, but needs to stay in place for now. However, there are claims that the government is preparing a shift in approach next month when pubs are due to get the go-ahead to open gardens.

SAGE adviser Shaun Fitzgerald of Cambridge University, who helped draw up the rule, told the Times that there should be more focus on how long people are close together any whether they are facing towards each other.

‘The thing which is missing from a simple two-metre rule is consideration of other factors, such as time, duration and orientation,’ he said.

‘It’s all three that are important. I would not want to be 1 meter apart from somebody for an extended period because that’s much, much higher risk than two metres.’

The UK faces the biggest hit from coronavirus of any major economy with GDP estimated to nosedive by 11.5 per cent this year, an international think-tank warned today.

For comparison, the OECD’s latest estimates predict GDP will drop by 11.4 per cent in France and 11.3 per cent in Italy.

The crash could be even worse if there is a second peak of the deadly disease, with output likely to be down 14 per cent overall in 2020.

The grim picture — in line with the Bank of England’s fears of the worst recession in around 300 years — came in the OECD’s update on the global economic outlook.

The body says the world’s GDP is set to contract by 6 per cent, with all countries suffering a deep downturn and struggling to recover quickly.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak today warned school closures are a ‘tragedy’ amid claims he has told fellow MPs they are as damaging to the economy as the 2008 credit crunch. 

He has privately told colleagues the impact of keeping millions of pupils at home is the same scale as the financial crisis, which required nearly £140billion in taxpayer bailouts, according to the Telegraph.

Treasury sources dismissed the report as ‘categorically not true’. Speaking on a visit to a John Lewis store this morning, Mr Sunak said: ‘I personally think every day our children are not at school is a tragedy.

‘It is obviously going to have an impact on their futures.’ But he added: ‘We can’t do it all in one go. We have to take careful measures, deliberate steps, to do it.’ 

With concerns rising about the long-term impact, ministers are facing fury that millions of children might not be able to go back to school full-time in September, despite zoos and drive-in cinemas opening from Monday. 

It was also revealed that Boris Johnson is facing a Tory backlash for failing to downgrade the two-metre social distancing rule amid warnings it is causing ‘economic devastation’.

The Prime Minister is coming under growing pressure to relax the instruction, which is hampering the return of schools and crippling swathes of he economy.

Senior Conservatives are increasingly furious, with some branding the premier’s leadership on the issue ‘pitiful’. Ministers have argued the guidance is kept under review but needs to stay in place for now. 

However, there are claims that the government is preparing a shift in approach next month when pubs are due to get the go-ahead to open gardens.

SAGE adviser Shaun Fitzgerald of Cambridge University, who helped draw up the rule, told the Times that there should be more focus on how long people are close together any whether they are facing towards each other.

How many people have died of Covid-19 in YOUR area? Interactive tool shows rate of ‘excess deaths’, when the crisis peaked and how badly care homes and hospitals have been hit in every part of England and Wales

Scientists have created an interactive graphic which reveals how different areas of England and Wales have been affected by the coronavirus.

Damning statistics yesterday revealed that more than 51,000 people have died with Covid-19 across the UK since the outbreak began in February. 

But not all areas have been hit equally hard. More than 1,000 have died in Birmingham, England’s second biggest city, whereas none at all died on the tiny Isles of Scilly off the coast of Cornwall.

Now researchers at the University of Cambridge have compiled data from the Office for National Statistics into an interactive module that the public can use to track deaths in England and Wales over the past six months.

They show the numbers of people dying each week surged well above average between the end of March and beginning of May as the virus swept through the UK, killing tens of thousands of elderly people and those with serious health conditions, as well as healthy citizens and children.

The data revealed that more than 13,000 people died of Covid-19 in care homes up to May 29, along with another 11,000 unexplained ‘excess’ deaths which experts believe may largely have been undiagnosed coronavirus.

A further 28,000 people died in NHS hospitals of the coronavirus, while people dying on wards of other causes dropped dramatically by around 10,000 amid suggestions Brits were too scared to seek medical care. 

At the same time, however, some 2,000 people have died at home with Covid-19, along with nearly 12,000 people who died in private homes of other causes. Many of those would have likely been hospital patients in normal times, the researchers said.

Here’s how to use the module: 

First select the area you want to look at – it can be England and Wales, either country individually, or a local authority within one of the nations;Select the data set: ‘occurrences’ is the most accurate because it counts the day someone actually died, while ‘registrations’ is the day on which they were counted, which usually comes days or even weeks later; Baseline: The difference between the two options is minimal. Baseline is the average number of deaths against which this year’s figures are compared. They are collected from the past five years. The ‘five year average’ is the true average, and ‘adjusted’ is what would have been expected without the pandemic, adjusting the five-year average using the number of deaths in the first 10 weeks of this year;Select time frame: Using the ‘start week’ and ‘stop week’ drop-down menus you can choose which date range to look at. The first coronavirus death in England happened on March 2, according to NHS England. Any time periods before March will not show any Covid-19 fatalities, but they are useful for comparing how the numbers rose.

The data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the most accurate for England and Wales because it takes into account everyone who has Covid-19 mentioned on their death certificate, whether they were diagnosed with the virus or not.

HOW TO USE THE MODULE 

First select the area you want to look at: It can be England and Wales, either country individually, or a local authority within one of the nations.

Select the data set: ‘Occurrences’ is the most accurate because it counts the day someone actually died, while ‘registrations’ is the day on which they were counted, which usually comes days or even weeks later; 

Baseline: The difference between the two options is small. Baseline is the average number of deaths against which this year’s figures are compared. They are collected from the past five years. The ‘five year average’ is the true average, and ‘adjusted’ is what would have been expected without the pandemic, adjusting the five-year average using the number of deaths in the first 10 weeks of this year;

Select time frame: Using the ‘start week’ and ‘stop week’ drop-down menus you can choose which date range to look at. The first coronavirus death in England happened on March 2, according to NHS England. Any time periods before March will not show any Covid-19 fatalities, but they are useful for comparing how the numbers rose.

This means it includes people who were not tested before they died, meaning the number of deaths is higher than that announced by the Department of Health because the Government only tested hospital patients between March and the end of April.

Statistics show that Birmingham has had by far the most coronavirus deaths in hospitals, with 799, along with Leeds (359), Liverpool (354) and the London borough of Brent (350).

County Durham and Sheffield experienced the most Covid-19 deaths in care homes, with 304 and 260, respectively, although the researchers noted Durham has the third highest rate of care home deaths in normal times.

A five-fold surge in care home deaths happened in Islington, London, where 84 people died compared to the average of 16, while the number of people dying at home in Newham, in the east of the city, rose eight-fold from 16 to 141.

Dr Harry Giles and Professor David Spiegelhalter, the statisticians who created the interactive, pointed out the ‘notable’ local authorities above but said: ‘We deliberately avoid creating “league tables”, as chance variability can produce spurious rankings.’

Britain’s coronavirus death yesterday jumped by 286 to an official total 40,883. 

Northern Ireland has now gone three days in a row without recording a single fatality as the outbreak there continues to fade. 

Department of Health figures showed 277 of the Covid-19 victims were from England, while the other nine were in Wales. No laboratory-confirmed deaths were recorded in Scotland and Northern Ireland. 

But separate grim statistics suggest the disease has already claimed at least 51,000 lives in the UK. 

Other data shows nearly 64,000 ‘excess deaths’ have already been recorded across the home nations since the outbreak spiralled out of control in March.

Data compiled by the statistical bodies of each of the home nations show 51,086 people died of either confirmed or suspected Covid-19 across the UK by the end of May.

The real number of victims will be even higher because the tally only takes into account deaths that occurred up until May 31 in Scotland and May 29 in the rest of Britain, meaning it is up to 10 days out of date.

The Office for National Statistics on Tuesday confirmed that 46,421 people in England and Wales died with confirmed or suspected Covid-19 by May 29.

The total number of coronavirus deaths was 754 by the same date in Northern Ireland, according to the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA).

National Records Scotland — which collects statistics north of the border — said 3,911 people had died across the country by May 31.

Their tallies are always 10 days behind the Department of Health (DH) because they wait until as many fatalities as possible for each date have been counted, to avoid having to revise their statistics.

By comparison, the DH announces deaths for each day as soon as it receives them, meaning they are continuously updated as more registrations filter through the system.

REVEALED: THE 10 AREAS OF ENGLAND AND WALES WITH THE MOST COVID-19 DEATHS…

Birmingham

Leeds

County Durham

Liverpool

Sheffield

Brent

Croydon

Cheshire East

Barnet

Bradford 

1,148

645

624

550

534

472

471

454

446

441 

…. AND THE 10 AREAS OF ENGLAND AND WALES WITH THE FEWEST COVID-19 DEATHS 

Isles of Scilly

City of London

Ceredigion

Hastings

South Hams

West Devon

Mid Devon

Torridge

Rutland

Norwich 

Because of this recording lag, the number of deaths announced on any date is significantly higher by the time the ONS has calculated it. 

The difference between the statistics agencies’ total and the Department of Health total for May 29 is around 33.8 per cent (51,074 compared to 38,161).

If the most recent death toll announced by the government was increased by the same amount it would mean that there have already been 54,100 Covid-19 victims who died. 

Data released by the ONS, the statistical body for England and Wales, also showed weekly deaths in the seven-day spell ending May 29 plummeted to the lowest rate all year. 

Only 9,824 deaths were registered in the two countries that week — still 1,600 deaths higher than what would usually be expected. 

Both England and Wales — which suffered 16,000 deaths during the darkest fortnight of the crisis in April — are now en route to the way they were before the unprecedented lockdown was imposed on March 23.

The ONS figures also showed less than a fifth of deaths registered in the week ending May 29 in England and Wales involved coronavirus — the lowest proportion since when lockdown was imposed on March 23.   

It is also the first time the proportion of weekly Covid-19 deaths has fallen to under a fifth since the week lockdown was imposed, the week ending March 27, when the virus accounted for 5 per cent of the deaths.

While numbers are falling, there have been tens of thousands of ‘excess’ deaths compared to the average number of deaths over five years for the same period. 

The total number of excess deaths has passed 63,500, with Tuesday’s figures showing 57,961 excess deaths in England and Wales between March 21 and May 29 2020. 

Excess deaths are considered to be an accurate measure of the number of people killed by the pandemic because they include a broader spectrum of victims. 

As well as including people who may have died with Covid-19 without ever being tested, the data also shows how many more people died because their medical treatment was postponed, for example, or who didn’t or couldn’t get to hospital when they were seriously ill.

Nick Stripe, head of health analysis at the ONS, said some deaths involving coronavirus in care homes ‘will have brought forward deaths that might otherwise have happened relatively soon’.

He tweeted: ‘We might expect deaths not involving Covid in care homes to fall below 5-yr avgs (average) in the next few weeks.’ 

REVEALED: HOW MANY PEOPLE HAVE DIED OF COVID-19 IN YOUR LOCAL AUTHORITY (Data from the Office for National Statistics, up to May 29) LOCAL AUTHORITY COVID-19 DEATHS LOCAL AUTHORITY COVID-19 DEATHS Birmingham 1,148 Wycombe 101 Leeds 645 Charnwood 101 County Durham 624 Mole Valley 101 Liverpool 550 Hartlepool 100 Sheffield 534 Portsmouth 100 Brent 472 Ashford 100 Croydon 471 South Derbyshire 99 Cheshire East 454 Wealden 99 Barnet 446 Neath Port Talbot 98 Bradford 441 Wychavon 97 Wirral 394 East Hertfordshire 97 Ealing 393 Wyre 96 Harrow 384 Elmbridge 96 Enfield 377 Telford and Wrekin 95 Manchester 362 Chorley 95 Walsall 352 North Lincolnshire 93 Cardiff 349 Fareham 93 Sandwell 339 Eastleigh 92 Cheshire West and Chester 335 Broxtowe 92 Wiltshire 332 Chiltern 91 Sunderland 328 High Peak 91 Bromley 328 North Hertfordshire 91 Stockport 322 Sevenoaks 90 Wigan 319 Folkestone and Hythe 90 Redbridge 306 Stroud 89 Salford 305 Warwick 89 Hillingdon 305 Vale of Glamorgan 88 Wakefield 302 Bath and North East Somerset 87 Newham 298 Amber Valley 87 Bolton 297 Three Rivers 86 Wolverhampton 290 South Staffordshire 86 Dudley 288 Spelthorne 86 Kirklees 282 Bridgend 86 Lewisham 279 Powys 86 Derby 276 Blackburn with Darwen 85 Lambeth 271 Peterborough 85 Coventry 270 Dover 85 Havering 270 Breckland 85 Sefton 268 Surrey Heath 84 Rotherham 267 Guildford 83 Rhondda Cynon Taf 266 Tandridge 83 Solihull 262 Plymouth 82 Haringey 261 Hinckley and Bosworth 81 East Riding of Yorkshire 256 East Northamptonshire 81 Northumberland 247 Denbighshire 81 Leicester 246 Erewash 80 Oldham 240 Darlington 79 Southwark 240 Cambridge 79 Tameside 237 East Hampshire 79 Waltham Forest 237 Gravesham 79 Bristol, City of 230 Carmarthenshire 79 Northampton 229 Chesterfield 78 Central Bedfordshire 228 Rochford 78 Gateshead 226 South Ribble 78 Newcastle upon Tyne 225 Kettering 78 Hackney 221 Brentwood 77 Greenwich 219 Rushmoor 77 Hounslow 218 Fylde 77 Warrington 213 Epsom and Ewell 77 Shropshire 212 Chichester 77 Barnsley 212 Rushcliffe 76 Bexley 211 Isle of Wight 75 Nottingham 208 Scarborough 75 Trafford 208 Barrow-in-Furness 74 Wandsworth 208 Broxbourne 74 East Suffolk 204 Crawley 73 Bury 200 Fenland 71 Cornwall 198 Newark and Sherwood 71 Doncaster 198 North Warwickshire 71 Rochdale 196 Worthing 71 Merton 194 Monmouthshire 71 Swansea 194 Castle Point 70 Middlesbrough 193 Harlow 70 Luton 191 Oxford 70 Milton Keynes 191 Rugby 70 St. Helens 187 Cannock Chase 69 Basildon 184 West Suffolk 69 Tower Hamlets 183 Pendle 67 Westminster 181 Broadland 67 Epping Forest 177 Woking 67 Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole 174 Derbyshire Dales 66 Hertsmere 174 Lancaster 66 Medway 173 Conwy 66 Southend-on-Sea 172 Tonbridge and Malling 65 Reigate and Banstead 169 Eastbourne 64 Stoke-on-Trent 168 Blaby 64 Sutton 168 Mid Suffolk 64 Hammersmith and Fulham 165 Torfaen 64 Kingston upon Hull, City of 163 Bracknell Forest 63 Barking and Dagenham 161 Merthyr Tydfil 63 South Gloucestershire 160 Allerdale 62 Stratford-on-Avon 159 Craven 62 Mid Sussex 159 Blaenau Gwent 62 Newport 158 Wellingborough 61 Reading 157 Mansfield 61 Swindon 156 Runnymede 61 Southampton 156 Uttlesford 60 York 155 Hambleton 60 Dorset 155 Sedgemoor 60 Camden 155 Staffordshire Moorlands 60 South Tyneside 154 North West Leicestershire 59 Harrogate 153 Arun 59 Islington 148 Gwynedd 59 North Tyneside 147 Wrexham 59 Tendring 146 Daventry 58 Brighton and Hove 145 Torbay 57 Richmond upon Thames 145 Cotswold 57 Gloucester 144 Worcester 57 South Lakeland 143 Stevenage 57 Wokingham 142 South Cambridgeshire 55 Bedford 141 Gosport 55 East Staffordshire 139 Tunbridge Wells 55 Knowsley 136 Burnley 55 King’s Lynn and West Norfolk 135 South Kesteven 55 Chelmsford 134 Redditch 55 Ashfield 132 Copeland 54 Cheltenham 131 Harborough 54 Thanet 131 Tamworth 54 Thurrock 130 Babergh 53 West Berkshire 129 Bolsover 52 North East Derbyshire 129 Hyndburn 52 Waverley 129 South Norfolk 52 Caerphilly 128 Bassetlaw 52 Aylesbury Vale 127 South Somerset 51 Nuneaton and Bedworth 127 South Bucks 50 Kingston upon Thames 126 Rossendale 50 Stockton-on-Tees 125 Rother 49 Windsor and Maidenhead 125 Oadby and Wigston 49 Bromsgrove 125 North Norfolk 49 New Forest 124 East Cambridgeshire 48 Kensington and Chelsea 121 South Holland 48 Carlisle 120 South Northamptonshire 48 Vale of White Horse 119 Malvern Hills 46 Newcastle-under-Lyme 119 Forest of Dean 45 North Somerset 118 East Devon 44 Ipswich 118 East Lindsey 44 St Albans 118 Somerset West and Taunton 44 Redcar and Cleveland 117 Corby 43 Blackpool 117 Hart 42 Dacorum 115 Richmondshire 42 Herefordshire, County of 113 Selby 41 Preston 113 North Kesteven 40 Gedling 113 Pembrokeshire 40 Cherwell 113 Great Yarmouth 39 Watford 112 Adur 39 West Oxfordshire 112 Eden 38 Wyre Forest 111 Exeter 38 South Oxfordshire 110 North East Lincolnshire 34 Braintree 109 Boston 33 Flintshire 109 Teignbridge 32 West Lancashire 108 Maldon 32 Lichfield 108 Ryedale 28 Calderdale 108 Isle of Anglesey 27 Test Valley 107 North Devon 26 Halton 106 Melton 26 Basingstoke and Deane 106 Mendip 26 Swale 106 Ribble Valley 22 Havant 105 Lincoln 22 Stafford 105 West Lindsey 22 Horsham 105 Rutland 21 Slough 104 Norwich 21 Huntingdonshire 104 Torridge 19 Colchester 104 Mid Devon 16 Winchester 104 West Devon 15 Maidstone 104 South Hams 12 Lewes 103 Hastings 9 Welwyn Hatfield 103 Ceredigion 7 Tewkesbury 102 City of London 4 Canterbury 102 Isles of Scilly 0 Dartford 102 SOURCE: Office for National Statistics



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